Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.447685 0.490817 0.536997 0.590235 0.650067 0.715399 0.792359
2026-01-25 0.379961 0.440412 0.509712 0.595549 0.699725 0.822966 0.981136
2026-02-01 0.331831 0.398791 0.479076 0.583427 0.716939 0.884037 1.112192
2026-02-08 0.303633 0.375703 0.465327 0.586546 0.748671 0.961595 1.268473
2026-02-15 0.278571 0.353058 0.448526 0.582033 0.767450 1.021312 1.405013
2026-02-22 0.260626 0.337442 0.438592 0.584383 0.793983 1.092272 1.563847
2026-03-01 0.242199 0.319345 0.423311 0.577135 0.805079 1.140788 1.693432
2026-03-08 0.225781 0.302556 0.408188 0.568207 0.811953 1.182449 1.815825
2026-03-15 0.208648 0.283471 0.388251 0.550231 0.802933 1.197810 1.895861
2026-03-22 0.201841 0.278517 0.388062 0.561377 0.839310 1.287817 2.112614
2026-03-29 0.195000 0.272961 0.386426 0.569869 0.871773 1.374126 2.333840
2026-04-05 0.187564 0.265990 0.382075 0.573517 0.896239 1.448837 2.543345
2026-04-12 0.180027 0.258537 0.376672 0.575316 0.918204 1.522329 2.763274
2026-04-19 0.173827 0.252761 0.373484 0.580456 0.946340 1.609952 3.025177
2026-04-26 0.164446 0.241491 0.360858 0.568708 0.943266 1.638814 3.168592
2026-05-03 0.158933 0.235985 0.357105 0.571731 0.967027 1.721166 3.440133
2026-05-10 0.152353 0.228403 0.349478 0.567356 0.976477 1.776066 3.658518
2026-05-17 0.147546 0.223415 0.345808 0.569634 0.998565 1.858620 3.954929
2026-05-24 0.141349 0.215836 0.337344 0.562608 1.001854 1.902208 4.163977
2026-05-31 0.135281 0.208182 0.328339 0.553953 1.001101 1.936917 4.356443
2026-06-07 0.128088 0.198336 0.315078 0.536526 0.981200 1.927644 4.432881
2026-06-14 0.126075 0.197125 0.316742 0.547333 1.020114 2.053911 4.896628
2026-06-21 0.123735 0.195233 0.317078 0.555565 1.054305 2.173425 5.366659